WinWayCharts Market Timing Expert Ratings compress hundreds of technical conditions into a single, actionable score. Use 95+ up or down ratings as “of-notice” events, then confirm direction with the Price Phase indicator before acting. This simple two-step process keeps you aligned with the dominant swing while filtering many head fakes.
What the Market Timing Expert Rating Really Is
Under the hood, the Expert System evaluates ~400+ indicator states through an inference engine (decision-tree style) and outputs a daily market rating—from neutral to powerful up/down signals. You’ll also see these ratings plotted directly on historical charts in TradingExpert Pro.
Why that matters: Instead of juggling dozens of internals, you get a unified, explainable read of market conditions that has been kept methodologically stable for years (no goal-post shifting or perpetual re-optimization). That stability helps make the historical behavior of the signals more comparable across cycles.
Market Timing signals with confirmation by Phase Jan – May 2025
The Confirmation Key: WinWayCharts Price Phase Indicator
WinWayCharts explicitly recommends using the Price Phase Indicator (“Phase”) as the primary filter for Expert Ratings. When Phase direction agrees with a high Expert Rating signal, the signal is considered confirmed. In other words:
Strong Up Rating (≥95) → look for Phase turning up or already rising to confirm.
Strong Down Rating (≥95) → look for Phase turning down or already falling to confirm.
This is purposeful: Expert Ratings often fire early—giving you a heads-up—while Phase helps you avoid acting too soon. Think of Ratings as the alert and Phase as the green light.
Interpreting the Score: When Does “High” Mean “Actionable”?
Per guidance, 95 or greater to the upside or downside is the zone “of notice.” That’s when you should lean in, check Phase, and consider entries/exits or hedges—not when readings are middling or neutral. Most days are neutral; the edge lives in waiting for 95+ and confirming with Phase.
WinWayCharts Market Timing signals with confirmation by Phase May – Aug 2025
Where to See It in TradingExpert Pro
On your WinWayCharts Main Menu, select Market Charts, and plot Price Phase in a lower pane. This combination is designed for side-by-side evaluation.
If you prefer a visual “state” view, Heikin-Ashi-mode bars with Phase underneath are often used in WinWayCharts’s examples to highlight trend persistence.
How to Read the 2025 Chart (Step-by-Step Playbook)
Spot the Spike
Scan for 95+ up/down ratings. Put a small flag on each to review.
Check Phase Direction
If the rating is Up (≥95), is Phase rising or just turned up?
If Down (≥95), is Phase falling or just turned down? Match = Confirmation. No match? Put it on watch—often the earliest ratings need a bar or two before Phase confirms.
Plan Entries/Exits
For confirmed Up: consider scaling into risk-defined long exposure, tightening shorts.
For confirmed Down: consider trimming longs, or tactical shorts—again, with risk clearly defined.
Manage the Hold
Historical AIQ studies often show swing-length holds rather than ultra-short scalps (average holds are one week to several weeks), but your trade horizon should match your strategy.
Best Practices (That Save You from Heartache)
Don’t front-run Phase on big ratings. Early feels clever until it doesn’t. Let the filter do its job.
Treat 95 as your attention alarm. Below that, conserve focus; above that, prepare plans.
Neutral = No edge. Most days are noise; your edge is in selectivity.
Common Questions
Q: Are the rules curve-fit over time? A: We deliberately keeps the rating calculation stable, avoiding constant re-tuning. That consistency is part of why the historical behavior is analyzable.
Q: Is Phase the only valid confirmation? A: It’s primary confirmation tool for Expert Ratings and the one used in the official “confirmed” flagging. You can add your own overlays, but Phase remains the recommended filter.
Q: Do signals work on intraday charts? A: The Market Timing ratings are generated daily. You can time entries intraday after a daily confirmation, but the signal itself is evaluated on the daily close framework.
Final Word
WinWayCharts Market Timing Expert Ratings give you clean, explainable signals—and the Price Phase indicator gives you the discipline to act only when odds tilt in your favor. Use the 95+ threshold to focus, Phase to confirm, and your risk plan to stay in the game when it counts.
In a recent Zoom meeting, Steve Hill, founder of WinWayCharts, shared Bollinger Bands Setups, Variations & Trade Timing. In this article, we’ll expand on using %B and creating custom indicators to help identify trade setups using Bollinger Bands and %B.
When John Bollinger introduced Bollinger Bands in the 1980s, traders gained a powerful visual tool for understanding market volatility and potential turning points. But tucked away inside the Bollinger Band toolkit is a lesser-known gem: %B.
If Bollinger Bands are the map, %B is the GPS — it tells you exactly where price is, relative to the bands, at any given time. This extra precision can help you spot breakouts, reversals, and trend confirmations faster.
What is %B?
%B measures the position of the last closing price within the Bollinger Band range.
%B = 1.0 → Price is exactly at the upper Bollinger Band.
%B = 0.0 → Price is exactly at the lower Bollinger Band.
%B > 1.0 → Price is above the upper band (potential breakout or overbought).
%B < 0.0 → Price is below the lower band (potential breakdown or oversold).
Why Use %B Instead of Just the Bands?
While the bands themselves are great for visual trading, %B turns them into a precise numeric oscillator that’s perfect for:
Coding trading systems (like in WinWayCharts’s Expert Design Studio).
Screening for setups in thousands of stocks.
Backtesting with exact entry/exit rules rather than “eyeballing” the chart.
Five Ways to Use %B in Trading
1. Overbought/Oversold Mean Reversion
Buy when %B < 0.05 (price hugging lower band) and momentum turns up.
Sell when %B > 0.95 (price hugging upper band) and momentum turns down.
2. Trend Breakouts
Buy when %B crosses above 1.0 (price breaks above upper band in an uptrend).
Sell when %B crosses below 0.0 (price breaks below lower band in a downtrend).
3. Band “Walks”
In strong trends, price can “walk” the band.
In an uptrend, %B will often stay above 0.8 for extended periods.
In a downtrend, %B will often stay below 0.2.
For WinWayCharts TradingExpert Pro, we’ll create an EDS strategy that looks for all these setups and generates two indicators.
%B as a histogram in Charts, and a Walk the BBands indicator, where we’ll create upper and lower thresholds, where we can see %B stays above or below these thresholds for several days.
Example Setups from the EDS scan 8-1-2025
Buy when %B < 0.05 (price hugging lower band) and momentum turns up. Ticker RSG %B histogram is 0.05 8-1-25, prices moved moderately up.
Sell when %B > 0.95 (price hugging upper band) and momentum turns down. Ticker PI %B histogram is 1.16, prices turned down.
Walk the band up. In an uptrend, %B will often stay above 0.8 for extended periods. Ticker INCY shows above our 80 line in the Walk the BBands indicator and continues to do so.
Walk the band down. In a downtrend, %B will often stay below 0.2. Ticker XRAY shows below our 20 line in the Walk the BBands indicator and continues to do so.
Click here to download this zipped EDS file. Locate the Bollinger%25B.zip file usually in your downloads folder and extract the Bollinger%25B.EDS file to your /wintes32/EDS strategies folder.
The code is below
EDS code
! — How to Use the %B Indicator for Smarter Trading
! — When John Bollinger introduced Bollinger Bands in the 1980s, traders gained
! — a powerful visual tool for understanding market volatility and potential turning points.
! — It tells you exactly where price is, relative to the bands, at any given time.
! — This extra precision can help you spot breakouts, reversals, and trend confirmations faster.
Periods is 20.
Multiplier is 2.
! Step 1: Moving Average of Close
MA20 is simpleavg([close],Periods).
! Step 2: Squared Deviations from MA
Deviation is ([close] - MA20) * ([close] - MA20).
! Step 3: Average of Squared Deviations
Var20 is simpleavg(Deviation,Periods).
! Step 4: Square Root to get Standard Deviation
SD20 is sqrt(Var20).
! Step 5: Upper and Lower Bands
UpperBand is MA20 + Multiplier * SD20.
LowerBand is MA20 - Multiplier * SD20.
! Step 6: %B Calculation
PercentB is ([close] - LowerBand) / (UpperBand - LowerBand).
! — Buy when %B < 0.05 (price hugging lower band) and momentum turns up.
BuyReversal if PercentB < 0.05 and [close] > val([close],1).
! — Sell when %B > 0.95 (price hugging upper band) and momentum turns down.
SellReversal if PercentB > 0.95 and [close] < val([close],1).
! — Buy when %B crosses above 1.05 (price breaks above upper band in an uptrend).
BuyBreakout if PercentB > 1.05.
! — Sell when %B crosses below -0.05 (price breaks below lower band in a downtrend).
SellBreakdown if PercentB < -0.05.
! — create an indicator for walking the bands use a one line indicator with upper at 80 lower at 20 by %B x100
walkindicator is PercentB*100.
! — Band “Walks” in strong trends up, price can walk, the band %B will often stay above 0.8 for extended periods.
walkuptoday if walkindicator>80.
walkup1ydy if valresult(walkindicator,1)>80.
walkup2back if valresult(walkindicator,2)>80.
wlkupfor3days if walkuptoday and walkup1ydy and walkup2back.
! — Band “Walks” in strong trends down, price can walk, the band %B will often stay below 0.2 for extended periods.
walkdowntoday if walkindicator<20.
walkdown1ydy if valresult(walkindicator,1)<20.
walkdown2back if valresult(walkindicator,2)<200.
wlkdownfor3days if walkdowntoday and walkdown1ydy and walkdown2back
Adding the %B and Walking the BBands Indicator
Open WinWayCharts.
Go to Chart → Settings → Indicator Library → EDS Indicators.
Click Add.
Select the Bollinger%25B.EDS file from your /wintes32/EDS strategies folder and click Open.
Choose a Plot Type Histogram for %B
Give it a Description/Name, then choose the UDF to Plot (PercentB).
Click Finish, then Done. Your new indicator now appears in the Indicator Library and can be added to charts like any other study.
Repeat for the Walk the BBands but select Plot Type One Line with Upper/Lower Limits
Give it a Description/Name, then choose the UDF to Plot (Walkindicator) and select Upper Support 80, Lower Support 20.
Click Finish, then Done. Your new indicator now appears in the Indicator Library and can be added to charts like any other study.
Final Thoughts
%B adds mathematical precision to Bollinger Band analysis. Whether you’re hunting for reversals, breakouts, or just trying to understand volatility better, %B gives you an exact reading of the price’s location in the band structure.
WinWay TradingExpert Pro users have long relied on end-of-day data for clean, bias-free decision-making. But what if you could run those same scans during the market day?
The Intraday Snapshot feature makes that possible. For just $20/month + VAT https://winwaycharts.com/wordpress/plans-and-pricing/2130-2-2/, users can download delayed market data up to four times daily — capturing snapshots of the trading session. Once downloaded, you can run the same AI ratings, scans, charts, and system rules on the data.
This means you can catch emerging signals before the close, verify if a stock is maintaining strength after a morning breakout, or identify group/sector shifts in real time. It keeps your process consistent while making your decisions more timely.
For traders who want intraday agility without abandoning proven rules — Snapshot bridges the gap.
Steve Hill from Winway Charts provided an in-depth explanation of technical analysis indicators, focusing on Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) divergences.
He discussed how these indicators can signal potential market reversals and help traders make informed decisions, using various stock examples to illustrate his points. Throughout the session, Steve emphasized the importance of identifying divergences between price action and momentum indicators, as well as analyzing volume trends, to predict potential market moves and plan trading strategies.
Next steps
Review RSI and MACD divergence patterns for identifying potential trend reversals or consolidation zones, especially near overbought/oversold levels and support/resistance areas.
Consider using divergences for planning exits or hedge points in existing positions.
Focus on applying divergence analysis to volatile and momentum stocks, particularly in the tech and semiconductor sectors, and
combine divergence signals with volume analysis and support/resistance levels for stronger confirmation of potential trend changes.
As Q2 ended, our WinWayCharts Market Expert System triggered a cluster of bearish warnings, despite the market pushing to new 21-day highs.
These signals highlight a classic divergence: Prices are rising, but internal strength is falling.
Over several days (June 26–30), key indicators such as the Advance/Decline Oscillator and Up/Down Volume Oscillator turned negative — even as the price reached new highs. In AIQ’s history, this pattern often precedes sharp reversals.
The system has not confirmed a phase change yet, but the warnings are stacking up.
Wouldn’t you like to see these signals before the headlines catch up? If you’re not using WinWayCharts yet, start your 30-day trial of TradingExpert Pro — the same software that detected this developing weakness.
Markets Rebound: April 29th’s Fibonacci 50% Retracement on QQQ, DJIA, and NASDAQ
After the last few weeks’ market turbulence triggered by escalating tariff headlines, April 2 -28, 2025, delivered a textbook bounce—one that Fibonacci traders could spot a mile away. The QQQ, DJIA, and NASDAQ all staged strong retracements, each pulling back close to the 50% from their recent swing highs to the dramatic lows set by the tariff-driven selloff.
~ A Closer Look at the 50% Retracement ~
For those who track Fibonacci levels, the 50% retracement is more than just a number—it often signals a crucial moment of decision in market psychology. It’s the point where bulls and bears reassess their convictions. On April 29, all three major indices touched this level in near-perfect unison.
~ Let’s break it down: ~
QQQ (Invesco QQQ Trust): After plunging nearly 6% during the tariff turmoil, QQQ bounced back sharply. On 4/29, it retraced exactly 50% of the down move, landing right on the Fibonacci line drawn using WinWayCharts.
DJIA (Dow Jones Industrial Average): The Dow’s recovery was equally telling. It reclaimed 50% of the decline from its January high to the low posted on April 7. Resistance formed precisely at this level, adding credibility to the Fibonacci reading.
NASDAQ Composite: Tech stocks led the rally, and the NASDAQ showed an aggressive bounce. Like the QQQ, it retraced half the loss, with AIQ TradingExpert Pro’s Fibonacci tool providing a clean visual confirmation of market memory at play.
~ Using WinWayCharts to Catch the Move ~
At WinWayCharts we emphasize practical tools that help traders act, not just analyze. The Fibonacci Retracement tool in AIQ TradingExpert Pro offers an intuitive interface for plotting retracement levels from any significant swing high to low, or vice versa. The 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8% levels are automatically calculated and displayed, making it easy to see where the price might hesitate or reverse.
What made April 29 especially notable was how cleanly price respected the 50% level across indices. It wasn’t a vague “zone”—it was a laser line, and those who had it on their charts were better prepared to anticipate resistance and manage risk.
~ What’s Next? ~
While the 50% retracement is not a guaranteed reversal point, it is often where institutional players test the bounce’s resolve. If price holds below that level, the odds tilt toward a retest of the recent lows. A strong break above it? Then, we could see a move to the 61.8% level or higher.
With markets still on edge from macro headlines, now’s the time to stay sharp. Fibonacci tools like those in WinWayCharts give traders a clear visual framework, especially during volatile, headline-driven price swings.
~ Final Thoughts ~
If you’re not already using Fibonacci levels in your trading, April 29 perfectly demonstrates their relevance. Whether you’re swing trading or managing a portfolio, these retracement zones offer insight into crowd behavior and price structure. It was noteworthy that the SP500 index had progressed further than 50% retracement (55%).
Stay tuned as we monitor whether this 50% level becomes a ceiling or just another stepping stone on the road to recovery.
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