TIme Tested Trading TIps.

Steve Palmquist

Author of ‘The Timely Trades Letter’ and ‘How to Take Money from the Markets

During 20 years of active trading experience I have researched, tested, and analyzed a number of trading systems and techniques. Some have shown promising results, some do not. I add tools to my trading toolbox based on their effectiveness. Trading systems are not effective because Aunt Millie or uncle Bob told you about them, they are effective because they work. One way to know if a trading technique works is through testing to see how different time periods, market conditions and parameters effect trading pattern results.

Making money in the stock market requires knowledge of what to trade, when to trade, and a variety of trading tools designed for different market conditions. Just as a carpenter will use several different tools when building a house, traders will use different tools to build their account. Using the same trading tool in all situations is like trying to build a house with just a hammer. Carpenters have tools designed for specific jobs, and so should traders.

The successful trader has a tool box with a variety of trading tools for use in different market conditions. The trader, like the carpenter, must go beyond just acquiring the tools. Traders must understand which tool to use for a specific task, and have a clear understanding of how the tool works, and what can and cannot be done with it.

Some tools, like a screwdriver, are fairly easy to learn how to use. Other tools, like a table saw, require a lot more training and experience to get the most out of. Most carpenters serve an apprentice period where they work with, and learn from, someone with years of experience. It is amazing how many people will just start trading their hard earned money without ‘learning the trade’ first. Understanding how to trade requires the ability to recognize basic trading patterns, and also knowledge of the market environments in which they work best.

There are no perfect trading systems, no matter what those slick brochures we all get in the mail say. Trading is a statistical business where it is important to manage risk. Every trading system has a certain percentage of winners and losers. Examples of six complete trading systems and how they perform in different market conditions is covered in ‘How to Take Money from the Markets

There is no magic to trading. It is about putting the odds on your side and not trading unless they are. This sounds simple, but it takes…

a few years to get good at it. And like most things, while you are learning it is best to work with someone. The learning time is long because traders have to see how things behave in different markets, and learn to trade the odds and not their feelings. See www.daisydogger.com for more information on my trading experiences.

The market will not adapt to us, we must adapt to it. Active trading in a narrow range presents higher than average risk. Traders can compensate for higher risk market conditions by trading fewer positions and using smaller position sizes. Failure to do this can be costly.

I cannot control what the market does, so I have a plan for whichever path it picks and then trade the plan.

Successful trading is not about predicting what the market is going to do. It is about knowing how to react to whatever it does.

Always be thinking about taking and protecting profits.

You do not need to trade every day. Let the setups come to you and take the best ones. When the market is moving there lots of good setups to trade. If there are few setups, or most are failing, then listen to the message of the market.

Never enter a position without a plan for exiting.

Steve Palmquist a full time trader who invests his own money in the market every day. He has shared trading techniques and systems at seminars across the country; presented at the Traders Expo, and published articles in Stocks & Commodities, Traders-Journal, The Opening Bell, and Working Money.

Steve is the author of two trading books: Money-Making Candlestick Patterns, Backtested for Proven Results’, in which he shares backtesting research on popular candlestick patterns and shows what actually works, and what does not.

“How to Take Money From the Markets, Creating Profitable Trading Strategies” in which he uses the results of extensive backtesting techniques to smash trading myths and get to the truth of what has worked and what has not. The book provides six fully analyzed and tested trading systems and shows how they have performed in different market conditions.

Steve is the publisher of the, ‘Timely Trades Letter’ in which he shares his market analysis and specific trading setups for stocks and ETFs. To receive a sample of the ‘Timely Trades Letter’ send an email to sample@daisydogger.com. Steve’s website:www.daisydogger.com provides additional trading information and market adaptive trading techniques.

Time Tested Trading Tips.

Steve Palmquist

Author of ‘The Timely Trades Letter’ and ‘How to Take Money from the Markets

During 20 years of active trading experience I have researched, tested, and analyzed a number of trading systems and techniques. Some have shown promising results, some do not. I add tools to my trading toolbox based on their effectiveness. Trading systems are not effective because Aunt Millie or uncle Bob told you about them, they are effective because they work. One way to know if a trading technique works is through testing to see how different time periods, market conditions and parameters effect trading pattern results.

Making money in the stock market requires knowledge of what to trade, when to trade, and a variety of trading tools designed for different market conditions. Just as a carpenter will use several different tools when building a house, traders will use different tools to build their account. Using the same trading tool in all situations is like trying to build a house with just a hammer. Carpenters have tools designed for specific jobs, and so should traders.

The successful trader has a tool box with a variety of trading tools for use in different market conditions. The trader, like the carpenter, must go beyond just acquiring the tools. Traders must understand which tool to use for a specific task, and have a clear understanding of how the tool works, and what can and cannot be done with it.

Some tools, like a screwdriver, are fairly easy to learn how to use. Other tools, like a table saw, require a lot more training and experience to get the most out of. Most carpenters serve an apprentice period where they work with, and learn from, someone with years of experience. It is amazing how many people will just start trading their hard earned money without ‘learning the trade’ first. Understanding how to trade requires the ability to recognize basic trading patterns, and also knowledge of the market environments in which they work best.

There are no perfect trading systems, no matter what those slick brochures we all get in the mail say. Trading is a statistical business where it is important to manage risk. Every trading system has a certain percentage of winners and losers. Examples of six complete trading systems and how they perform in different market conditions is covered in ‘How to Take Money from the Markets

There is no magic to trading. It is about putting the odds on your side and not trading unless they are. This sounds simple, but it takes…

a few years to get good at it. And like most things, while you are learning it is best to work with someone. The learning time is long because traders have to see how things behave in different markets, and learn to trade the odds and not their feelings. See www.daisydogger.com for more information on my trading experiences.

The market will not adapt to us, we must adapt to it. Active trading in a narrow range presents higher than average risk. Traders can compensate for higher risk market conditions by trading fewer positions and using smaller position sizes. Failure to do this can be costly.

I cannot control what the market does, so I have a plan for whichever path it picks and then trade the plan.

Successful trading is not about predicting what the market is going to do. It is about knowing how to react to whatever it does.

Always be thinking about taking and protecting profits.

You do not need to trade every day. Let the setups come to you and take the best ones. When the market is moving there lots of good setups to trade. If there are few setups, or most are failing, then listen to the message of the market.

Never enter a position without a plan for exiting.

Steve Palmquist a full time trader who invests his own money in the market every day. He has shared trading techniques and systems at seminars across the country; presented at the Traders Expo, and published articles in Stocks & Commodities, Traders-Journal, The Opening Bell, and Working Money.

Steve is the author of two trading books: Money-Making Candlestick Patterns, Backtested for Proven Results’, in which he shares backtesting research on popular candlestick patterns and shows what actually works, and what does not.

“How to Take Money From the Markets, Creating Profitable Trading Strategies” in which he uses the results of extensive backtesting techniques to smash trading myths and get to the truth of what has worked and what has not. The book provides six fully analyzed and tested trading systems and shows how they have performed in different market conditions.

Steve is the publisher of the, ‘Timely Trades Letter’ in which he shares his market analysis and specific trading setups for stocks and ETFs. To receive a sample of the ‘Timely Trades Letter’ send an email to sample@daisydogger.com. Steve’s website:www.daisydogger.com provides additional trading information and market adaptive trading techniques.

Using the VIX as an indicator for timing bottoms in SPY

The VIX is the CBOE Volatility index and is a measure of the implied volatility of the SP500 stocks. Much is mentioned in the financial media on high levels of the VIX during steep down turns in the market. Question is can we make this into an indicator.

a quick overlay of the VIX on the SPY reveals some visual correlations with the VIX. Peaks in the VIX often correlate with bottoms in the SPYand vice verse.
To make use of the VIX as an indicator requires building an indicator using the closing price of the VIX. The EDS code to do this can be downloaded from http://aiqsystems.com/VIXSPY-spread_lasvegas.EDS save this file to c:wintes32EDS Strategies.
To add a custom indicator in AIQ Charts, open Charts and go to Charts, Settings, Indicator Library, EDS Indicators. Clickk on Add, locate the EDS file VIXSPY-spread_lasvegas.EDS in your c:wintes32EDS Strategies folder.
For Plot Type select Histogram with Plotted Line and click next.
For Description I chose VIX with 10-day av.
UDF to Plot is Close_VIX
UDF for line is VIX_10day
Click Finish and then Done.
The indicator VIX with 10-day av will now be available at the bottom of the indicator control panel.
I chose a 10-day average to help smooth out the fluctuations, a 21-day average may also work.
Here’s what it looks like
The arrows on the chart show an interpretation that works well for timing the bottoms of the SPY. I’m looking for theVIX histogram to be 3 or more consecutive spikes above the 10 day average, followed by Change in direction from up to down of the 10 day average. Check it out for yourself and see what you think. 

Live webinars from the 21st Annual Traders Seminar in Las Vegas

Intermarket analysis – Profitable trading strategies for commodities, stocks, bonds and currencies. Donald Dony

Did you know that; Gold leads the commodities (CRB index)? The US dollar usually trends in the opposite direction of the CRB index and Gold? All markets are interrelated and none move in isolation? Bond prices normally move in the opposite direction to stocks (inflationary environment)? All of these and many more inter market relationships will be revealed in Donald’s session. Best of all their are ETFs to trade all of them.
Learn more

Around the world in 80 mins – Global equity investment opportunities to capitalize on future trends. Richard Muller

During his presentation Richard will reveal where the best markets are to be trading and why, and the best values in each segment based on his extensive global equity research. Richard’s pedigree is unmatched in global equity analysis. Prior to joining Reuters and presenting his own TV show, Richard taught technical analysis to many investors and traders throughout Europe.
Learn more

The relationship between commodities and currencies in the context of the MACDI divergence strategy. Dale Wheatley

Dale has used the special relationship between currencies and commodities to his advantage by trading options on the ETFS. Whether it is the OIl Index, Gold Index, US Dollar index, SPY or others, correlations and leading and lagging factors all play in to finding the right time to be in the right option. Dale uses his unique MACD divergence strategy as the timing mechanism to enter option trades.
Learn more

S&P 500 Set to Touch 1,200

Richard’s TV show on S&P 500 click here

Don’t miss Richard Muller at the Las Vegas Seminar October 9 – 10, 2010 call 1-800-332-2999 for special pricing, full agenda at http://aiqsystems.com/vegas2010.htm

Richard Muller is a global equities analyst with Thomson Reuters, where he delivers investment ideas on the Reuters Insider financial TV channel. Richard qualified as a Chartered Management Accountant, and holds a Masters of Science degree in investments, MSc ISIB. Richard is also a power user of AIQ TradingExpert Pro.

Point & Figure analysis on the major markets – Richard Muller

Don’t miss Richard Muller at the Las Vegas Seminar October 9 – 10, 2010 call 1-800-332-2999 for special pricing, full agenda at http://aiqsystems.com/vegas2010.htm

Richard Muller is a global equities analyst with Thomson Reuters, where he delivers investment ideas on the Reuters Insider financial TV channel. Richard qualified as a Chartered Management Accountant, and holds a Masters of Science degree in investments, MSc ISIB. Richard is also a power user of AIQ TradingExpert Pro.

Richards TV show on Point & Figure analysis on the major markets can be seen by clicking here

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